Shockers battle Panthers for MVC Tournament crown

NCAA Basketball Betting Lines

03/07/2010 - St. Louis. MO (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Gunning for their second straight Missouri Valley Conference Tournament championship, top-seeded Northern Iowa takes on second-seeded Wichita State in the title game this afternoon at the Scottrade Center in St. Louis.

UNI, which defeated Illinois State in overtime last year to capture its second MVC Tournament title, first took care of Drake in the quarterfinals on Friday with a 55-40 triumph and then yesterday dismissed fifth-seeded Bradley by almost an identical score (57-40) to advance.

As for the Shockers, a program that has two MVC crowns but hasn't won it all since 1987, they too received a bye through the opening round and then took care of Missouri State (73-63) on Friday and Illinois State (65-61) yesterday.

With respect to the all-time series between these two schools on the hardwood, UNI owns a 22-18 advantage, but the programs split a pair of regular-season meetings with each winning on the road.

Toure' Murry tallied a team-best 17 points, shooting 6-og-9 from the field, as he helped lead Wichita State to the win against the Redbirds on Saturday afternoon. Also hitting for double figures were Garrett Stutz and Demetric Williams with 12 points apiece, the squad shooting just 4-of-14 behind the three-point line but still managing to get by. Clevin Hannah, who tallied eight points on a mere 3-of-10 effort from the field, is the leading scorer for the Shockers to this point with his 12.1 ppg, just fractions of a point ahead of Murry (12.0 ppg) who has not only handed out 105 assists and made 49 steals, but it also one of the leaders on the glass for the group with close to five boards per outing. Defensively, WSU has held opponents to just 61.2 ppg this season.

As for the Panthers, they held their second straight opponents to a mere 40 points and limited Bradley to just 33.3 percent shooting from the floor and 1- of-10 behind the three-point line yesterday afternoon. Jordan Eglseder and Marc Sonnen both delivered 10 points for the squad in an effort to offset a 2- of-11 shooting effort by Ali Farokhmanesh as he finished with just five points. UNI escaped the meeting with just 37.9 percent shooting from the floor. Adam Koch, who responded with seven points yesterday, is tied with Eglseder atop the overall scoring list this season with 12.1 ppg. Eglseder is good for almost seven and a half rebounds per game, yet it is still difficult to get beyond the fact that he has just 18 assists in his 28 starts. Not much of an offensive team this year with an average of only 63.2 ppg, the Panthers are getting the job done by holding foes to a mere 54.4 ppg, representing one of the top efforts in the nation.

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Sportsbooks to bet on football

Recently I had an email debate with an angry reader who said I did not understand "the science of oddsmaking", as he called it.

He said I was wrong for suggesting oddsmakers care about who wins or loses games.

"Oddsmakers only care about splitting the betting public 50/50 on both sides of the line and keeping the commission (a.k.a. juice)," he wrote.

He might have been right about not understanding "the science of oddsmaking". After all, I'm not an oddsmaker. That said, I stick to my assertion that oddsmakers (a.k.a. sportbooks) often do care about who wins games.

Granted, as a general rule, sportsbooks try to balance their action so that they're not exposed to big losses. However, there are times when this is difficult to pull off, regardless of how much a line has moved. There are also times when that general rule is ignored and a book pursues risk.

Generally speaking, it's safe to say the books in Vegas are risk-adverse. Unlike in the past when the wise guys ruled the town, Vegas is now corporate and the goal of most casinos is to make as much money as possible with as little risk as possible.

Thus, Vegas sportsbooks try everything in their power to balance the action. They're satisfied simply collecting the juice. But these profits are small, especially compared to the take from other casino games, namely slot machines.

Because the profits at Vegas sportsbooks are so small, you could argue that many casinos operate sportsbooks simply as a novelty to keep the tourists happy.

With a growing aversion to risk, it should come as no surprise that Vegas bookmakers have been panicking this NFL season.

Despite huge pointspreads, a disproportionate percentage of bettors are still laying their money on favorites like the Eagles, Colts, Pats and Vikings rather than the dogs (a common trend for the largely recreational bettors that visit Vegas).

And much to the dismay of the books, those favorites are finding ways to cover the thick chalk. In fact, prior to Week 7, the four teams listed above are a combined 16-2-2 (88 percent) against the spread. (The tables turned dramatically in Week 7, but more on that later.)

The result has been an early-season beating for the books, and a bonanza for bettors.

While Vegas increasingly hates risk, it's no longer a major player in the sports betting world. Most of the betting action now takes place offshore where sportsbooks are not as obsessed about balance. In fact, some books encourage exposure to risk because the rewards can be so much bigger.

Consider MySportsbook.com. On its website, the book has odds pages which actually display the amount of action it's getting on games. In other words, you can see how much action the book is taking on both sides of a pointspread, moneyline or over/under.

One look at these numbers and it's obvious MySportsbook.com does not balance every game. In fact, far from it.

Take last weekend's matchup between St. Louis and Miami. By game time on Sunday, 83 percent of the betting action at MySportsbook.com was on the Rams; only 17 percent was on Miami.

What's interesting is that MySportsbook.com opened the pointspread with Miami at +6 1/2. By game time, the spread had lowered to +5.

That goes contrary to the balancing theory. If MySportsbook.com had wanted to balance the action, it would have given Miami more points; instead, it took away 1 1/2. World Series odds are now up as well.

MySportsbook.com exposed itself to even more to risk, and rolled the dice on the underdog Dolphins. Why? I contacted a representative with the book to find out. His answer was simple.

"The line moved early based on 'smart money' from sharp players," said Jeff Gilroy, a spokesperson for the book. "We also knew from early in the week that we would need Miami, therefore (we dropped) the spread to encourage Rams money.

"At the end of the day, we liked the home team."

So the conclusion is this: MySportsbook.com respected the sharp action, and gambled that the sharp bettors had a better take on the game than the recreational bettors, who were hammering the visiting Rams.

In the end, the gamble paid off. Miami, desperate for a win in front of its home fans, pounded the overrated Rams, who are terrible on the road and even worse on grass. Final score: 31-14 Fish.

MySportsbook.com was also heavily exposed on numerous favorites in Week 7, including Philadelphia, Seattle and Denver. All three failed to cover.

The fact that sportsbooks are exposed to risk on certain games is really nothing new. The fact, that Sportsbook.com is willing to show the public where it's exposed is intriguing.

Armed with this type of information, bettors can make more educated wagers. They can get an idea where the sharp money is going and conversely where the public money is headed.

MySportsbook.com is opening up its cashbox, letting bettors look inside and challenging them to take their best shot at grabbing the cash.

To visit this online football betting got to MySportsbook.com for all your football betting odds needs. Mysportsbook.com online sportsbook accepts Visa and Mastercard credit cards.